Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 2571.428114 2783.672093 2998.770134 3232.777182 3479.870503 3732.720618 4010.709706
2025-01-26 2293.146701 2615.659709 2954.627094 3336.255966 3752.750749 4192.327095 4690.141223
2025-02-02 2102.961037 2493.664733 2915.412361 3402.063379 3945.631742 4531.660972 5208.754618
2025-02-09 1918.718064 2353.781779 2834.402489 3400.723438 4045.685204 4753.346179 5584.410949
2025-02-16 1753.884476 2219.657506 2745.139453 3376.044308 4106.988822 4921.365455 5891.290313
2025-02-23 1649.413976 2145.812639 2716.286022 3412.430481 4230.886408 5154.658332 6267.909480
2025-03-02 1536.659701 2053.574921 2658.334114 3407.864848 4301.394788 5322.203947 6565.910048
2025-03-09 1465.357441 2006.048830 2648.768066 3456.309532 4430.702988 5555.614999 6939.049518
2025-03-16 1362.844486 1913.644922 2579.362835 3427.710997 4464.097711 5673.378527 7174.683862
2025-03-23 1318.604805 1891.340386 2593.232512 3498.172149 4614.944850 5929.321214 7573.571928
2025-03-30 1253.216908 1838.111121 2565.337529 3514.302634 4697.617483 6102.596695 7873.774242
2025-04-06 1187.347182 1780.650798 2528.966090 3517.057289 4761.659287 6252.002391 8144.742160
2025-04-13 1079.748502 1663.965997 2413.756073 3417.973177 4698.207916 6246.702401 8230.484521
2025-04-20 1065.739673 1672.600677 2460.527421 3525.765026 4894.531321 6560.956180 8707.861000
2025-04-27 1037.259981 1659.612168 2477.564777 3594.279209 5040.965979 6814.168480 9111.878988
2025-05-04 983.722251 1609.079660 2442.462662 3592.884295 5096.947222 6954.368944 9376.679757
2025-05-11 924.822978 1548.066860 2390.695103 3567.191587 5119.810303 7051.877660 9587.907173
2025-05-18 892.750207 1523.887826 2387.610490 3605.071448 5224.268339 7251.896476 9927.541036
2025-05-25 847.852583 1478.846926 2353.963765 3600.318631 5271.924896 7379.401529 10176.300286
2025-06-01 824.279101 1464.157380 2361.574427 3650.746032 5391.829861 7599.162306 10542.289505
2025-06-08 775.975121 1410.064030 2311.794032 3620.977952 5404.186057 7680.312259 10732.395920
2025-06-15 763.038944 1409.159010 2337.062659 3694.315900 5553.996738 7938.943015 11149.494417
2025-06-22 733.447030 1381.121456 2322.254297 3711.102737 5627.474858 8098.800525 11440.965354